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Earnings Estimates


Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 167.94
Price - 52 Week High: 173.77
Price - 52 Week Low: 124.40
Price Date (Latest): 7/19/19
Median Price Target: 167.05
Diff from Prev Close: -0.89
% Difference: -0.53

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.74

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 13.23
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 5.24
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 10.82
Yield (%): 3.03

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 15.74 18.00 13.43 15.88 13 1 3 -0.48
Annual 12/1/20 14.73 16.95 13.31 14.75 27 2 5 0.00
Annual 12/1/19 16.22 16.76 15.26 16.30 27 3 3 0.06
Quarterly 3/1/20 3.66 4.02 3.41 3.60 8 -- 2 -0.14
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.41 4.73 4.02 4.47 23 5 -- 1.06
Quarterly 9/1/19 3.98 4.20 3.55 4.01 23 4 2 -0.03
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.62 4.12 3.06 3.62 22 1 5 -0.94
Long Term Growth 2.40 2.40 2.40 2.40 1 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 13.23 13.63 -2.91
Annual 12/1/17 10.62 10.28 3.32
Annual 12/1/16 8.23 8.00 2.82
Quarterly 3/1/19 4.20 3.57 17.77
Quarterly 12/1/18 3.48 3.81 -8.59
Quarterly 9/1/18 4.05 3.76 7.83
Quarterly 6/1/18 3.29 3.63 -9.42

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 46.51
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 63.83 70.06 43.16 68.57 6 1 1 -0.07
Annual 12/1/20 57.26 65.99 45.44 60.00 9 1 1 -0.02
Annual 12/1/19 52.35 57.37 46.74 52.04 9 1 1 0.07
Quarterly 3/1/20 53.15 58.95 47.35 53.15 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 52.53 57.74 48.95 51.71 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 53.43 58.37 48.32 53.53 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 53.70 57.37 47.69 54.87 4 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 46.51 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 43.81 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 41.04 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 49.65 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 46.51 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 44.80 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 44.70 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 14.61
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 18.40 20.12 16.61 18.25 5 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 18.03 20.67 15.24 17.95 6 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 18.26 20.74 15.83 18.41 6 1 -- 0.36
Quarterly 3/1/20 4.51 4.60 4.43 4.51 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 3.81 5.60 -- 4.82 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 3.51 5.03 -- 4.50 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.21 4.53 -- 4.16 4 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 14.61 16.08 -9.14
Annual 12/1/17 13.61 13.16 3.43
Annual 12/1/16 11.43 11.12 2.83
Quarterly 3/1/19 2.61 3.28 -20.35
Quarterly 12/1/18 6.21 5.14 20.80
Quarterly 9/1/18 5.66 4.94 14.59
Quarterly 6/1/18 3.59 4.35 -17.46

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 4.44
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 5.08 6.19 4.32 4.98 8 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 4.90 5.62 4.32 4.90 12 -- 1 -0.79
Annual 12/1/19 4.67 5.11 4.32 4.67 12 -- 1 -0.41
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.11 1.14 1.08 1.11 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.13 1.14 1.08 1.14 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.18 1.28 1.08 1.17 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.18 1.28 1.08 1.17 4 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 4.44 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 4.21 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 4.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.14 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.14 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.14 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 1.08 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 2,786.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2,959.61 3,349.00 2,363.45 3,069.30 10 1 2 -0.09
Annual 12/1/20 2,906.52 3,254.00 2,448.00 2,964.06 18 2 3 -0.29
Annual 12/1/19 3,278.83 3,537.18 2,878.00 3,261.48 14 2 2 1.14
Quarterly 3/1/20 710.84 747.00 653.97 731.54 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 877.09 942.00 812.00 881.50 10 2 -- 0.90
Quarterly 9/1/19 794.29 863.00 724.00 797.50 10 2 -- 0.46
Quarterly 12/1/19 727.87 774.00 567.01 744.29 10 -- 2 -0.74

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2,786.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 2,404.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 1,928.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 799.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 731.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 803.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 722.00 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 3,476.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3,612.66 3,967.00 2,987.45 3,688.73 10 1 3 -0.52
Annual 12/1/20 3,586.17 3,812.00 3,088.22 3,611.96 19 2 4 -0.10
Annual 12/1/19 4,003.79 4,163.23 3,700.00 4,028.75 16 2 2 0.66
Quarterly 3/1/20 872.32 912.00 809.97 883.65 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,059.20 1,118.00 970.53 1,065.00 14 2 -- 0.54
Quarterly 9/1/19 970.43 1,031.15 882.80 982.50 14 2 -- 0.24
Quarterly 12/1/19 906.24 1,017.00 723.01 920.50 14 -- 2 -0.20

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3,476.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 3,026.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2,455.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 1,033.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 896.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 983.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 897.00 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 13.15
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 15.72 18.00 13.43 15.58 9 -- 2 -0.60
Annual 12/1/20 14.63 16.95 13.19 14.75 21 -- 4 -1.23
Annual 12/1/19 16.17 16.76 15.50 16.30 21 2 1 0.35
Quarterly 3/1/20 3.60 4.02 3.31 3.54 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.38 4.59 3.70 4.41 18 2 -- 0.51
Quarterly 9/1/19 4.00 4.20 3.68 4.02 18 2 -- 0.25
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.66 4.12 3.06 3.69 17 -- 2 -0.45

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 13.15 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 5.97 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 8.23 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 4.20 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 3.63 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 4.28 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 3.32 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 951.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -1,569.83 -298.00 -3,218.94 -1,168.00 5 1 1 -0.06
Annual 12/1/20 577.19 1,045.00 144.63 559.57 4 -- 1 -0.35
Annual 12/1/19 580.76 843.75 102.00 660.00 7 -- 3 -2.23
Quarterly 3/1/20 -750.55 -750.55 -750.55 -750.55 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 622.73 883.91 333.27 651.00 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 512.62 661.00 364.25 512.62 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 660.00 660.00 660.00 660.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 951.00 619.40 53.54
Annual 12/1/17 439.00 557.25 -21.22
Annual 12/1/16 441.00 540.00 -18.33
Quarterly 3/1/19 847.00 825.24 2.64
Quarterly 12/1/18 951.00 656.00 44.97
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,058.00 667.72 58.45
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,144.00 520.49 119.79

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 2,154.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2,266.02 2,713.00 1,960.39 2,260.28 10 -- 3 -0.61
Annual 12/1/20 2,194.91 2,590.00 1,970.00 2,197.03 20 -- 5 -1.06
Annual 12/1/19 2,511.99 2,575.00 2,378.00 2,529.24 20 2 3 0.18
Quarterly 3/1/20 540.62 556.00 526.00 540.24 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 686.66 719.94 634.49 692.00 13 2 -- 0.69
Quarterly 9/1/19 612.14 647.00 559.21 613.50 13 2 -- 0.35
Quarterly 12/1/19 557.90 627.00 475.54 565.00 13 -- 2 -0.58

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2,154.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 1,776.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 1,394.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 663.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 554.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 655.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 541.00 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 29.49
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 25.15 33.30 20.23 24.77 7 -- -- -0.12
Annual 12/1/20 25.65 30.00 22.20 25.42 10 -- -- -1.91
Annual 12/1/19 30.87 33.40 24.30 31.96 12 -- -- 0.64
Quarterly 3/1/20 25.97 25.97 25.97 25.97 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 37.00 37.00 37.00 37.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 31.69 31.69 31.69 31.69 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 23.52 23.52 23.52 23.52 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 29.49 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 25.13 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 19.52 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 33.02 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 30.48 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 36.16 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 29.46 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 23,771.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 23,614.03 25,725.00 21,096.37 23,706.22 11 1 3 -0.32
Annual 12/1/20 23,253.25 24,985.00 22,019.02 23,253.53 23 4 6 -0.26
Annual 12/1/19 24,402.83 24,776.00 23,525.93 24,467.00 23 5 4 0.04
Quarterly 3/1/20 5,596.87 5,700.00 5,444.95 5,614.04 6 -- 2 -0.12
Quarterly 6/1/19 6,353.85 6,531.00 6,146.03 6,357.00 17 3 2 0.15
Quarterly 9/1/19 6,007.79 6,167.00 5,654.93 6,015.36 17 5 1 0.04
Quarterly 12/1/19 6,048.57 6,209.00 5,720.98 6,100.00 17 3 3 -0.07

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 23,771.00 23,723.72 0.20
Annual 12/1/17 20,428.00 20,131.25 1.47
Annual 12/1/16 17,509.00 17,340.27 0.97
Quarterly 3/1/19 6,004.00 5,843.34 2.75
Quarterly 12/1/18 6,126.00 6,087.65 0.63
Quarterly 9/1/18 5,943.00 5,954.74 -0.20
Quarterly 6/1/18 6,132.00 5,824.09 5.29

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 12.69 10.36 11.40

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 19.00 -9.18 6.88
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