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Earnings Estimates


Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 147.76
Price - 52 Week High: 175.91
Price - 52 Week Low: 124.40
Price Date (Latest): 8/22/19
Median Price Target: 164.32
Diff from Prev Close: 16.56
% Difference: 11.20

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.81

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 13.23
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 5.24
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 10.82
Yield (%): 3.59

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 14.95 16.50 13.00 15.01 14 -- 14 -5.03
Annual 12/1/20 14.18 15.85 12.75 14.06 26 1 25 -3.81
Annual 12/1/19 15.75 16.25 15.15 15.74 27 2 23 -2.92
Quarterly 3/1/20 3.60 3.89 3.36 3.55 8 -- 8 -1.52
Quarterly 6/1/20 3.80 4.02 3.57 3.83 8 1 6 -5.69
Quarterly 9/1/19 3.82 4.05 3.65 3.82 23 2 21 -3.81
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.45 3.82 3.11 3.44 23 4 18 -5.07
Long Term Growth 2.30 2.30 2.30 2.30 1 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 13.23 13.63 -2.91
Annual 12/1/17 10.62 10.28 3.32
Annual 12/1/16 8.23 8.00 2.82
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.27 4.40 -3.06
Quarterly 3/1/19 4.20 3.57 17.77
Quarterly 12/1/18 3.48 3.81 -8.59
Quarterly 9/1/18 4.05 3.76 7.83

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 46.51
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 61.51 68.20 46.10 66.37 5 1 4 -3.64
Annual 12/1/20 53.62 61.61 44.06 54.05 7 1 6 -6.36
Annual 12/1/19 51.21 55.32 46.56 52.71 7 2 4 -2.17
Quarterly 3/1/20 54.10 57.92 50.27 54.10 2 1 1 1.78
Quarterly 6/1/20 54.79 59.94 49.64 54.79 2 1 1 1.51
Quarterly 9/1/19 52.37 54.74 50.94 51.44 3 1 2 -1.98
Quarterly 12/1/19 51.95 56.12 49.23 50.49 3 1 2 -3.26

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 46.51 45.34 2.57
Annual 12/1/17 43.81 47.36 -7.50
Annual 12/1/16 41.04 42.20 -2.74
Quarterly 6/1/19 52.46 52.53 -0.13
Quarterly 3/1/19 49.65 48.16 3.10
Quarterly 12/1/18 46.51 46.53 -0.06
Quarterly 9/1/18 44.80 46.70 -4.07

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 14.61
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 17.74 18.51 16.55 17.84 5 -- 6 -3.57
Annual 12/1/20 18.08 21.13 15.13 18.01 6 2 5 0.24
Annual 12/1/19 18.99 20.20 16.00 19.44 6 4 3 3.97
Quarterly 3/1/20 4.48 4.56 4.40 4.48 2 -- 2 -0.79
Quarterly 6/1/20 4.69 4.78 4.61 4.69 2 -- 2 -4.03
Quarterly 9/1/19 3.46 4.90 -- 4.46 4 1 2 -1.42
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.23 4.73 -- 4.10 4 2 1 0.54

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 14.61 16.08 -9.14
Annual 12/1/17 13.61 13.16 3.43
Annual 12/1/16 11.43 11.12 2.83
Quarterly 6/1/19 5.11 3.81 34.15
Quarterly 3/1/19 2.61 3.28 -20.35
Quarterly 12/1/18 6.21 5.14 20.80
Quarterly 9/1/18 5.66 4.94 14.59

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 4.44
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 5.55 6.19 4.56 5.77 8 4 -- 11.44
Annual 12/1/20 5.18 5.64 4.56 5.37 12 7 -- 6.72
Annual 12/1/19 4.82 5.20 4.34 4.90 12 6 2 3.65
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.14 1 -- -- 2.70
Quarterly 6/1/20 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.14 1 -- -- 2.70
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.29 1.38 1.14 1.31 4 3 -- 11.18
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.29 1.38 1.14 1.31 4 3 -- 11.18

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 4.44 4.44 -0.03
Annual 12/1/17 4.21 4.20 0.16
Annual 12/1/16 4.00 4.00 0.10
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.14 1.12 2.15
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.14 1.12 2.15
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.14 1.15 -1.24
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.14 1.17 -2.25

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 2,786.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2,821.02 3,071.00 2,336.38 2,888.00 11 -- 11 -4.80
Annual 12/1/20 2,812.17 3,070.70 2,429.81 2,815.00 19 4 13 -2.17
Annual 12/1/19 3,235.26 3,480.25 3,051.00 3,266.00 15 2 12 -1.36
Quarterly 3/1/20 705.55 742.00 649.32 725.32 3 1 2 7.14
Quarterly 6/1/20 749.00 806.00 672.60 768.41 3 1 2 -0.23
Quarterly 9/1/19 772.64 803.00 724.00 787.00 11 2 7 -1.63
Quarterly 12/1/19 718.70 779.78 575.18 733.50 10 4 5 0.39

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2,786.00 2,854.89 -2.41
Annual 12/1/17 2,404.00 2,414.81 -0.45
Annual 12/1/16 1,928.00 1,939.40 -0.59
Quarterly 6/1/19 848.00 869.90 -2.52
Quarterly 3/1/19 799.00 723.09 10.50
Quarterly 12/1/18 731.00 792.40 -7.75
Quarterly 9/1/18 803.00 804.27 -0.16

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 3,476.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3,491.91 3,723.00 2,948.38 3,594.00 11 -- 11 -3.48
Annual 12/1/20 3,449.94 3,689.00 2,930.00 3,479.00 20 2 17 -3.76
Annual 12/1/19 3,881.24 3,976.00 3,490.00 3,938.00 17 1 15 -3.11
Quarterly 3/1/20 863.10 907.00 802.32 871.53 4 1 3 -0.83
Quarterly 6/1/20 914.44 971.00 825.60 930.58 4 -- 4 -4.47
Quarterly 9/1/19 944.21 993.53 851.08 947.50 14 1 12 -2.77
Quarterly 12/1/19 881.41 952.30 728.18 899.00 14 4 10 -2.89

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3,476.00 3,507.26 -0.89
Annual 12/1/17 3,026.00 2,979.86 1.55
Annual 12/1/16 2,455.00 2,455.17 -0.01
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,058.00 1,061.38 -0.32
Quarterly 3/1/19 1,033.00 902.91 14.41
Quarterly 12/1/18 896.00 963.93 -7.05
Quarterly 9/1/18 983.00 968.74 1.47

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 13.15
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 14.89 16.50 13.00 14.83 9 -- 9 -3.88
Annual 12/1/20 14.17 15.85 12.79 14.15 19 3 16 -2.78
Annual 12/1/19 15.82 16.23 15.50 15.75 19 2 17 -2.13
Quarterly 3/1/20 3.59 3.89 3.44 3.54 5 1 4 -0.11
Quarterly 6/1/20 3.86 4.02 3.69 3.86 5 1 4 -4.74
Quarterly 9/1/19 3.82 3.97 3.70 3.83 16 1 15 -3.91
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.49 3.82 3.11 3.51 16 2 14 -4.74

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 13.15 13.36 -1.55
Annual 12/1/17 5.97 10.25 -41.73
Annual 12/1/16 8.23 8.01 2.80
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.27 4.39 -2.66
Quarterly 3/1/19 4.20 3.51 19.79
Quarterly 12/1/18 3.63 3.87 -6.28
Quarterly 9/1/18 4.28 3.73 14.90

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 951.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -1,245.01 -366.33 -2,726.04 -720.00 5 4 1 20.69
Annual 12/1/20 576.47 795.00 184.99 595.62 5 3 2 -0.12
Annual 12/1/19 610.18 1,032.58 359.00 636.09 7 4 2 5.07
Quarterly 3/1/20 -77.57 -77.57 -77.57 -77.57 1 1 -- 89.66
Quarterly 6/1/20 -541.24 -541.24 -541.24 -541.24 1 1 -- 56.03
Quarterly 9/1/19 777.10 777.10 777.10 777.10 1 1 -- 51.59
Quarterly 12/1/19 376.61 376.61 376.61 376.61 1 1 -- -42.94

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 951.00 619.40 53.54
Annual 12/1/17 439.00 557.25 -21.22
Annual 12/1/16 441.00 540.00 -18.33
Quarterly 6/1/19 491.00 622.73 -21.15
Quarterly 3/1/19 847.00 825.24 2.64
Quarterly 12/1/18 951.00 656.00 44.97
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,058.00 667.72 58.45

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 2,154.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2,173.88 2,470.00 1,920.50 2,165.92 11 -- 11 -4.17
Annual 12/1/20 2,129.27 2,405.00 1,956.00 2,135.63 20 2 18 -3.02
Annual 12/1/19 2,467.59 2,544.00 2,398.04 2,474.95 20 3 17 -1.89
Quarterly 3/1/20 532.41 551.00 512.00 533.31 4 1 3 -1.25
Quarterly 6/1/20 573.24 600.00 558.80 567.08 4 -- 4 -6.05
Quarterly 9/1/19 595.47 615.00 577.00 592.73 13 2 11 -2.83
Quarterly 12/1/19 544.84 590.00 484.28 548.40 13 6 7 -2.64

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2,154.00 2,212.61 -2.65
Annual 12/1/17 1,776.00 1,713.11 3.67
Annual 12/1/16 1,394.00 1,353.00 3.03
Quarterly 6/1/19 675.00 685.04 -1.47
Quarterly 3/1/19 663.00 558.23 18.77
Quarterly 12/1/18 554.00 612.13 -9.50
Quarterly 9/1/18 655.00 600.00 9.17

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 29.49
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 24.05 29.68 20.10 24.30 6 -- -- -4.36
Annual 12/1/20 24.80 27.39 22.30 24.76 8 -- -- -3.31
Annual 12/1/19 31.24 32.80 26.70 31.52 10 -- -- 1.21
Quarterly 3/1/20 26.02 26.02 26.02 26.02 1 -- -- 0.19
Quarterly 6/1/20 26.17 26.17 26.17 26.17 1 -- -- -5.22
Quarterly 9/1/19 31.11 31.11 31.11 31.11 1 -- -- -1.83
Quarterly 12/1/19 24.25 24.25 24.25 24.25 1 -- -- 3.10

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 29.49 29.91 -0.42
Annual 12/1/17 25.13 22.93 2.20
Annual 12/1/16 19.52 18.62 0.90
Quarterly 6/1/19 33.54 37.00 -3.46
Quarterly 3/1/19 33.02 30.02 3.00
Quarterly 12/1/18 30.48 31.26 -0.78
Quarterly 9/1/18 36.16 28.87 7.29

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 23,771.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 23,062.32 24,630.00 20,657.85 23,090.15 12 -- 12 -2.33
Annual 12/1/20 22,697.72 24,350.00 21,550.72 22,672.00 23 2 22 -2.28
Annual 12/1/19 23,988.85 24,248.60 23,750.48 24,010.00 23 2 21 -1.71
Quarterly 3/1/20 5,562.58 5,815.21 5,383.56 5,546.70 6 1 5 -0.63
Quarterly 6/1/20 5,863.01 6,081.63 5,641.19 5,894.50 6 2 3 -2.37
Quarterly 9/1/19 5,890.29 6,107.00 5,728.00 5,855.30 17 1 15 -2.04
Quarterly 12/1/19 5,862.77 6,085.01 5,600.00 5,862.00 17 1 16 -2.94

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 23,771.00 23,723.72 0.20
Annual 12/1/17 20,428.00 20,131.25 1.47
Annual 12/1/16 17,509.00 17,340.27 0.97
Quarterly 6/1/19 6,221.00 6,358.86 -2.17
Quarterly 3/1/19 6,004.00 5,843.34 2.75
Quarterly 12/1/18 6,126.00 6,087.65 0.63
Quarterly 9/1/18 5,943.00 5,954.74 -0.20

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 11.17 9.38 10.42

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 15.57 -9.95 5.40
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