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Earnings Estimates


Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 170.11
Price - 52 Week High: 186.73
Price - 52 Week Low: 140.88
Price Date (Latest): 1/23/20
Median Price Target: 181.53
Diff from Prev Close: 11.42
% Difference: 6.71

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.73

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 13.23
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 5.24
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 10.82
Yield (%): 3.08

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 13.66 15.86 11.25 13.51 18 2 2 -0.14
Annual 12/1/20 12.93 14.97 10.85 12.98 26 1 3 -0.14
Annual 12/1/19 14.88 15.50 14.48 14.85 12 -- 2 -0.16
Quarterly 3/1/20 3.19 3.68 2.40 3.27 14 -- 2 -2.07
Quarterly 6/1/20 3.47 3.65 3.15 3.50 13 1 1 0.45
Quarterly 9/1/20 3.41 3.65 3.03 3.49 13 1 -- 0.15
Quarterly 12/1/19 2.44 2.68 2.07 2.49 22 1 3 -0.98
Long Term Growth 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 13.23 13.63 -2.91
Annual 12/1/17 10.62 10.28 3.32
Annual 12/1/16 8.23 8.00 2.82
Quarterly 9/1/19 3.83 3.83 0.09
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.27 4.40 -3.06
Quarterly 3/1/19 4.20 3.57 17.77
Quarterly 12/1/18 3.48 3.81 -8.59

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 46.51
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 56.22 70.26 48.16 55.84 6 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 49.90 61.84 38.52 50.87 7 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 46.59 54.75 38.70 46.98 7 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 53.24 56.55 49.93 53.24 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 54.54 57.78 51.30 54.54 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 55.78 58.98 52.57 55.78 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 50.22 54.37 47.58 48.71 3 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 46.51 45.34 2.57
Annual 12/1/17 43.81 47.36 -7.50
Annual 12/1/16 41.04 42.20 -2.74
Quarterly 9/1/19 50.98 52.79 -3.42
Quarterly 6/1/19 52.46 52.53 -0.13
Quarterly 3/1/19 49.65 48.16 3.10
Quarterly 12/1/18 46.51 46.53 -0.06

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 14.61
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 17.52 18.17 16.95 17.48 4 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 17.20 19.21 15.19 17.69 5 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 19.68 21.76 18.56 19.26 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 3.84 4.28 3.41 3.84 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 4.24 4.45 4.02 4.24 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 4.17 4.36 3.98 4.17 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 2.42 3.65 -- 3.01 4 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 14.61 16.08 -9.14
Annual 12/1/17 13.61 13.16 3.43
Annual 12/1/16 11.43 11.12 2.83
Quarterly 9/1/19 7.17 3.01 138.31
Quarterly 6/1/19 5.11 3.81 34.15
Quarterly 3/1/19 2.61 3.28 -20.35
Quarterly 12/1/18 6.21 5.14 20.80

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 4.44
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 5.66 6.19 4.56 5.65 7 -- 1 -0.15
Annual 12/1/20 5.31 5.64 4.59 5.38 11 1 1 0.57
Annual 12/1/19 4.93 5.20 4.50 4.90 11 1 -- 0.61
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.33 1.38 1.30 1.31 3 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 4.44 4.44 -0.03
Annual 12/1/17 4.21 4.20 0.16
Annual 12/1/16 4.00 4.00 0.10
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.31 1.33 -1.77
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.14 1.12 2.15
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.14 1.12 2.15
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.14 1.15 -1.24

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 2,786.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2,497.08 2,949.75 2,016.37 2,536.00 13 -- 3 -0.38
Annual 12/1/20 2,451.37 2,687.00 1,959.81 2,515.59 16 -- 4 -0.27
Annual 12/1/19 2,981.50 3,222.66 2,761.38 2,995.88 13 1 3 0.01
Quarterly 3/1/20 571.77 623.00 529.00 568.00 5 -- -- 0.50
Quarterly 6/1/20 628.41 705.00 555.00 642.00 5 -- -- 6.87
Quarterly 9/1/20 620.46 703.00 552.00 631.00 5 -- -- 6.53
Quarterly 12/1/19 500.97 649.88 406.00 505.25 10 1 1 0.56

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2,786.00 2,854.89 -2.41
Annual 12/1/17 2,404.00 2,414.81 -0.45
Annual 12/1/16 1,928.00 1,939.40 -0.59
Quarterly 9/1/19 699.00 767.65 -8.94
Quarterly 6/1/19 848.00 869.90 -2.52
Quarterly 3/1/19 799.00 723.09 10.50
Quarterly 12/1/18 731.00 792.40 -7.75

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 3,476.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3,299.59 3,663.37 2,724.37 3,332.50 13 2 2 0.55
Annual 12/1/20 3,177.71 3,385.00 2,667.81 3,208.50 18 2 3 0.27
Annual 12/1/19 3,704.98 3,787.00 3,446.00 3,747.00 14 3 2 0.75
Quarterly 3/1/20 806.03 939.00 702.00 782.00 7 -- -- -2.11
Quarterly 6/1/20 855.17 926.00 744.06 867.16 7 -- -- 0.45
Quarterly 9/1/20 835.00 877.00 741.29 845.68 7 -- -- 0.85
Quarterly 12/1/19 696.43 738.00 598.31 699.50 12 2 1 -2.84

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3,476.00 3,507.26 -0.89
Annual 12/1/17 3,026.00 2,979.86 1.55
Annual 12/1/16 2,455.00 2,455.17 -0.01
Quarterly 9/1/19 958.00 943.36 1.55
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,058.00 1,061.38 -0.32
Quarterly 3/1/19 1,033.00 902.91 14.41
Quarterly 12/1/18 896.00 963.93 -7.05

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 13.15
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 13.87 15.70 11.25 13.62 12 1 -- -0.11
Annual 12/1/20 12.91 14.36 10.85 13.00 18 1 1 -0.04
Annual 12/1/19 14.96 15.63 14.60 14.93 17 -- 2 -0.21
Quarterly 3/1/20 3.34 3.68 3.01 3.34 10 -- -- -0.06
Quarterly 6/1/20 3.51 3.67 3.15 3.59 10 -- -- 0.20
Quarterly 9/1/20 3.42 3.72 3.03 3.47 10 -- -- 0.28
Quarterly 12/1/19 2.54 3.40 2.07 2.53 16 -- 2 -3.98

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 13.15 13.36 -1.55
Annual 12/1/17 5.97 10.25 -41.73
Annual 12/1/16 8.23 8.01 2.80
Quarterly 9/1/19 3.97 3.83 3.64
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.27 4.39 -2.66
Quarterly 3/1/19 4.20 3.51 19.79
Quarterly 12/1/18 3.63 3.87 -6.28

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 951.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 890.09 2,185.00 -531.74 1,025.14 6 1 1 16.04
Annual 12/1/20 1,172.38 2,060.00 455.00 994.74 6 1 2 9.68
Annual 12/1/19 1,194.36 2,258.00 414.51 1,167.57 5 3 -- 37.94
Quarterly 3/1/20 1,934.00 1,934.00 1,934.00 1,934.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 1,934.00 1,934.00 1,934.00 1,934.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 1,934.00 1,934.00 1,934.00 1,934.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 951.00 619.40 53.54
Annual 12/1/17 439.00 557.25 -21.22
Annual 12/1/16 441.00 540.00 -18.33
Quarterly 9/1/19 798.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 491.00 622.73 -21.15
Quarterly 3/1/19 847.00 825.24 2.64
Quarterly 12/1/18 951.00 656.00 44.97

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 2,154.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,994.35 2,251.30 1,625.59 1,998.00 11 1 -- 0.26
Annual 12/1/20 1,915.15 2,021.00 1,620.10 1,944.50 16 1 1 0.13
Annual 12/1/19 2,316.64 2,373.00 2,275.00 2,321.00 8 -- 1 -0.13
Quarterly 3/1/20 510.09 572.00 455.43 511.00 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 517.40 561.00 471.99 524.00 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 496.45 526.00 450.24 501.00 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 378.74 408.00 316.46 389.00 11 -- 1 -0.55

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2,154.00 2,212.61 -2.65
Annual 12/1/17 1,776.00 1,713.11 3.67
Annual 12/1/16 1,394.00 1,353.00 3.03
Quarterly 9/1/19 599.00 594.95 0.68
Quarterly 6/1/19 675.00 685.04 -1.47
Quarterly 3/1/19 663.00 558.23 18.77
Quarterly 12/1/18 554.00 612.13 -9.50

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 29.49
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 25.01 31.00 20.90 22.62 7 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 24.62 31.50 21.20 23.77 8 -- -- 0.41
Annual 12/1/19 30.86 34.90 25.60 31.25 10 -- -- -0.26
Quarterly 3/1/20 24.54 25.10 23.98 24.54 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 23.23 23.96 22.50 23.23 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 22.61 23.42 21.80 22.61 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 23.70 28.60 18.79 23.70 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 29.49 29.91 -0.42
Annual 12/1/17 25.13 22.93 2.20
Annual 12/1/16 19.52 18.62 0.90
Quarterly 9/1/19 30.13 30.29 -0.16
Quarterly 6/1/19 33.54 37.00 -3.46
Quarterly 3/1/19 33.02 30.02 3.00
Quarterly 12/1/18 30.48 31.26 -0.78

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 23,771.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 21,954.14 22,980.00 20,348.18 22,177.30 14 2 1 0.08
Annual 12/1/20 21,472.73 22,485.00 19,651.25 21,593.50 22 -- 5 0.11
Annual 12/1/19 23,324.21 23,668.00 23,167.28 23,321.97 22 -- 4 -0.05
Quarterly 3/1/20 5,195.46 5,654.00 4,919.00 5,141.81 10 -- 2 -0.68
Quarterly 6/1/20 5,518.58 5,785.00 5,161.05 5,507.50 10 -- 2 0.43
Quarterly 9/1/20 5,339.11 5,665.00 4,930.10 5,329.50 10 -- 1 0.67
Quarterly 12/1/19 5,310.30 5,452.30 5,174.28 5,312.00 17 -- 4 -0.75

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 23,771.00 23,723.72 0.20
Annual 12/1/17 20,428.00 20,131.25 1.47
Annual 12/1/16 17,509.00 17,340.27 0.97
Quarterly 9/1/19 5,768.00 5,875.08 -1.82
Quarterly 6/1/19 6,221.00 6,358.86 -2.17
Quarterly 3/1/19 6,004.00 5,843.34 2.75
Quarterly 12/1/18 6,126.00 6,087.65 0.63

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 12.86 11.43 13.16

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 9.19 -13.12 5.67
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