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Earnings Estimates


Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 162.76
Price - 52 Week High: 175.91
Price - 52 Week Low: 124.40
Price Date (Latest): 10/14/19
Median Price Target: 165.05
Diff from Prev Close: 2.29
% Difference: 1.41

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.80

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 13.23
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 5.24
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 10.82
Yield (%): 3.22

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 14.88 16.02 13.00 15.18 13 -- 3 -0.27
Annual 12/1/20 14.11 15.75 12.75 14.15 25 -- 3 -0.34
Annual 12/1/19 15.75 16.25 15.15 15.72 26 1 1 0.00
Quarterly 3/1/20 3.54 3.70 3.39 3.53 6 -- 1 -1.58
Quarterly 6/1/20 3.69 3.89 3.42 3.70 6 -- 1 -2.81
Quarterly 9/1/19 3.83 4.05 3.70 3.83 22 2 -- 0.14
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.44 3.82 3.11 3.42 22 1 1 -0.15
Long Term Growth 2.30 2.30 2.30 2.30 1 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 13.23 13.63 -2.91
Annual 12/1/17 10.62 10.28 3.32
Annual 12/1/16 8.23 8.00 2.82
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.27 4.40 -3.06
Quarterly 3/1/19 4.20 3.57 17.77
Quarterly 12/1/18 3.48 3.81 -8.59
Quarterly 9/1/18 4.05 3.76 7.83

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 46.51
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 64.12 68.20 58.80 64.74 4 -- 3 -1.90
Annual 12/1/20 53.93 61.61 44.06 55.73 6 -- 3 -1.04
Annual 12/1/19 51.03 55.32 46.56 52.11 6 -- 2 -0.59
Quarterly 3/1/20 57.92 57.92 57.92 57.92 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 59.94 59.94 59.94 59.94 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 52.84 54.74 50.94 52.84 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 52.68 56.12 49.23 52.68 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 46.51 45.34 2.57
Annual 12/1/17 43.81 47.36 -7.50
Annual 12/1/16 41.04 42.20 -2.74
Quarterly 6/1/19 52.46 52.53 -0.13
Quarterly 3/1/19 49.65 48.16 3.10
Quarterly 12/1/18 46.51 46.53 -0.06
Quarterly 9/1/18 44.80 46.70 -4.07

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 14.61
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 17.57 18.51 16.49 17.64 4 -- 2 -0.25
Annual 12/1/20 18.08 21.13 14.87 18.24 5 -- 2 -0.31
Annual 12/1/19 18.74 20.20 15.78 19.30 5 -- 1 -0.23
Quarterly 3/1/20 4.56 4.56 4.56 4.56 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 4.78 4.78 4.78 4.78 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 3.04 4.90 -- 4.23 3 1 -- 0.09
Quarterly 12/1/19 2.65 4.14 -- 3.82 3 -- 1 -2.82

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 14.61 16.08 -9.14
Annual 12/1/17 13.61 13.16 3.43
Annual 12/1/16 11.43 11.12 2.83
Quarterly 6/1/19 5.11 3.81 34.15
Quarterly 3/1/19 2.61 3.28 -20.35
Quarterly 12/1/18 6.21 5.14 20.80
Quarterly 9/1/18 5.66 4.94 14.59

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 4.44
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 5.69 6.19 4.56 5.90 7 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 5.23 5.64 4.56 5.38 11 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 4.84 5.20 4.34 4.90 11 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.33 1.38 1.31 1.31 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.33 1.38 1.31 1.31 3 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 4.44 4.44 -0.03
Annual 12/1/17 4.21 4.20 0.16
Annual 12/1/16 4.00 4.00 0.10
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.14 1.12 2.15
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.14 1.12 2.15
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.14 1.15 -1.24
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.14 1.17 -2.25

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 2,786.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2,765.36 3,066.00 2,336.38 2,760.34 10 -- 3 -0.43
Annual 12/1/20 2,785.16 3,070.70 2,429.81 2,806.50 18 -- 3 -0.33
Annual 12/1/19 3,228.23 3,438.05 3,051.00 3,236.54 14 1 1 0.00
Quarterly 3/1/20 695.66 742.00 649.32 695.66 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 739.30 806.00 672.60 739.30 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 772.20 803.00 724.00 788.00 10 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 711.91 769.99 575.18 728.00 9 -- -- --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2,786.00 2,854.89 -2.41
Annual 12/1/17 2,404.00 2,414.81 -0.45
Annual 12/1/16 1,928.00 1,939.40 -0.59
Quarterly 6/1/19 848.00 869.90 -2.52
Quarterly 3/1/19 799.00 723.09 10.50
Quarterly 12/1/18 731.00 792.40 -7.75
Quarterly 9/1/18 803.00 804.27 -0.16

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 3,476.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3,465.12 3,723.00 2,948.38 3,522.15 10 -- 3 -0.36
Annual 12/1/20 3,435.41 3,689.00 2,930.00 3,468.00 19 -- 3 -0.26
Annual 12/1/19 3,878.67 3,976.00 3,490.00 3,933.10 16 1 -- 0.07
Quarterly 3/1/20 857.77 907.00 802.32 864.00 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 911.87 971.00 825.60 939.00 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 945.01 994.87 851.08 948.00 13 1 -- 0.01
Quarterly 12/1/19 873.45 926.00 728.18 899.00 13 -- 1 -0.41

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3,476.00 3,507.26 -0.89
Annual 12/1/17 3,026.00 2,979.86 1.55
Annual 12/1/16 2,455.00 2,455.17 -0.01
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,058.00 1,061.38 -0.32
Quarterly 3/1/19 1,033.00 902.91 14.41
Quarterly 12/1/18 896.00 963.93 -7.05
Quarterly 9/1/18 983.00 968.74 1.47

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 13.15
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 14.86 16.02 13.00 15.01 10 -- 2 -0.11
Annual 12/1/20 14.14 15.09 12.79 14.18 20 -- 2 -0.15
Annual 12/1/19 15.81 16.23 15.50 15.75 20 -- 1 -0.07
Quarterly 3/1/20 3.51 3.56 3.44 3.52 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 3.82 3.89 3.69 3.85 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 3.84 4.05 3.70 3.83 18 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.47 3.82 3.11 3.48 18 -- -- -0.03

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 13.15 13.36 -1.55
Annual 12/1/17 5.97 10.25 -41.73
Annual 12/1/16 8.23 8.01 2.80
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.27 4.39 -2.66
Quarterly 3/1/19 4.20 3.51 19.79
Quarterly 12/1/18 3.63 3.87 -6.28
Quarterly 9/1/18 4.28 3.73 14.90

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 951.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -1,042.23 -656.00 -1,756.70 -714.00 3 -- -- -19.35
Annual 12/1/20 667.51 798.00 520.00 668.95 5 3 -- 15.75
Annual 12/1/19 708.01 1,351.99 359.00 685.02 6 2 -- 9.07
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 951.00 619.40 53.54
Annual 12/1/17 439.00 557.25 -21.22
Annual 12/1/16 441.00 540.00 -18.33
Quarterly 6/1/19 491.00 622.73 -21.15
Quarterly 3/1/19 847.00 825.24 2.64
Quarterly 12/1/18 951.00 656.00 44.97
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,058.00 667.72 58.45

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 2,154.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2,144.37 2,322.79 1,920.50 2,144.76 10 -- 3 -0.43
Annual 12/1/20 2,114.65 2,255.00 1,956.00 2,141.00 19 -- 3 -0.31
Annual 12/1/19 2,468.17 2,544.00 2,408.30 2,471.00 19 1 1 0.00
Quarterly 3/1/20 534.53 551.00 512.00 540.58 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 578.05 600.00 565.15 569.00 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 597.01 615.00 580.00 594.37 12 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 542.00 590.00 484.28 547.70 12 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2,154.00 2,212.61 -2.65
Annual 12/1/17 1,776.00 1,713.11 3.67
Annual 12/1/16 1,394.00 1,353.00 3.03
Quarterly 6/1/19 675.00 685.04 -1.47
Quarterly 3/1/19 663.00 558.23 18.77
Quarterly 12/1/18 554.00 612.13 -9.50
Quarterly 9/1/18 655.00 600.00 9.17

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 29.49
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 22.93 25.50 20.10 23.40 5 -- -- -0.02
Annual 12/1/20 24.28 27.00 22.30 24.39 7 -- -- -0.60
Annual 12/1/19 31.12 32.80 26.70 31.30 9 -- -- 0.07
Quarterly 3/1/20 26.02 26.02 26.02 26.02 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 26.17 26.17 26.17 26.17 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 31.11 31.11 31.11 31.11 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 24.25 24.25 24.25 24.25 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 29.49 29.91 -0.42
Annual 12/1/17 25.13 22.93 2.20
Annual 12/1/16 19.52 18.62 0.90
Quarterly 6/1/19 33.54 37.00 -3.46
Quarterly 3/1/19 33.02 30.02 3.00
Quarterly 12/1/18 30.48 31.26 -0.78
Quarterly 9/1/18 36.16 28.87 7.29

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 23,771.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 22,700.48 24,128.00 20,657.85 22,791.00 11 -- 3 -0.49
Annual 12/1/20 22,515.91 23,810.00 21,490.45 22,649.82 22 -- 3 -0.35
Annual 12/1/19 23,969.24 24,248.60 23,750.48 23,979.45 22 -- 2 -0.07
Quarterly 3/1/20 5,477.46 5,636.00 5,383.56 5,457.40 5 -- -- -0.63
Quarterly 6/1/20 5,738.28 5,933.00 5,605.00 5,656.23 5 -- -- -1.39
Quarterly 9/1/19 5,889.11 6,107.00 5,728.00 5,851.15 16 -- 1 -0.01
Quarterly 12/1/19 5,846.54 6,082.90 5,600.00 5,846.04 16 -- 1 -0.19

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 23,771.00 23,723.72 0.20
Annual 12/1/17 20,428.00 20,131.25 1.47
Annual 12/1/16 17,509.00 17,340.27 0.97
Quarterly 6/1/19 6,221.00 6,358.86 -2.17
Quarterly 3/1/19 6,004.00 5,843.34 2.75
Quarterly 12/1/18 6,126.00 6,087.65 0.63
Quarterly 9/1/18 5,943.00 5,954.74 -0.20

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 12.30 10.34 11.53

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 15.56 -10.36 5.39
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