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Earnings Estimates


Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 180.82
Price - 52 Week High: 186.73
Price - 52 Week Low: 124.40
Price Date (Latest): 11/21/19
Median Price Target: 176.32
Diff from Prev Close: -4.50
% Difference: -2.49

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.77

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 13.23
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 5.24
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 10.82
Yield (%): 2.90

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 14.06 15.70 12.00 14.13 13 2 8 -3.87
Annual 12/1/20 13.12 14.33 12.00 13.06 22 -- 20 -6.16
Annual 12/1/19 14.94 15.50 14.48 14.90 12 -- 12 -5.10
Quarterly 3/1/20 3.42 3.68 3.05 3.52 12 -- 6 -2.57
Quarterly 6/1/20 3.59 3.76 3.46 3.59 12 1 5 -1.24
Quarterly 9/1/20 3.51 3.75 3.17 3.52 11 5 -- 4.30
Quarterly 12/1/19 2.46 2.85 1.94 2.52 19 -- 18 -28.11
Long Term Growth 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 13.23 13.63 -2.91
Annual 12/1/17 10.62 10.28 3.32
Annual 12/1/16 8.23 8.00 2.82
Quarterly 9/1/19 3.83 3.83 0.09
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.27 4.40 -3.06
Quarterly 3/1/19 4.20 3.57 17.77
Quarterly 12/1/18 3.48 3.81 -8.59

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 46.51
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 58.50 70.26 49.87 57.99 6 -- 4 -8.35
Annual 12/1/20 50.69 61.84 38.52 52.29 7 -- 6 -5.83
Annual 12/1/19 47.88 54.75 42.40 48.14 7 -- 6 -6.12
Quarterly 3/1/20 53.18 56.55 49.81 53.18 2 -- 1 -7.79
Quarterly 6/1/20 54.67 57.78 51.55 54.67 2 -- 1 -8.26
Quarterly 9/1/20 56.11 58.98 53.24 56.11 2 -- 1 -8.29
Quarterly 12/1/19 50.09 54.37 47.50 48.39 3 -- 2 -4.78

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 46.51 45.34 2.57
Annual 12/1/17 43.81 47.36 -7.50
Annual 12/1/16 41.04 42.20 -2.74
Quarterly 9/1/19 50.98 52.79 -3.42
Quarterly 6/1/19 52.46 52.53 -0.13
Quarterly 3/1/19 49.65 48.16 3.10
Quarterly 12/1/18 46.51 46.53 -0.06

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 14.61
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 17.68 18.17 17.16 17.70 4 3 1 1.31
Annual 12/1/20 17.46 19.41 14.88 17.69 5 2 3 -2.87
Annual 12/1/19 19.62 21.75 18.56 19.26 5 2 3 4.87
Quarterly 3/1/20 4.12 4.49 3.75 4.12 2 1 -- -7.86
Quarterly 6/1/20 4.40 4.82 3.98 4.40 2 1 -- -6.00
Quarterly 9/1/20 4.26 4.77 3.75 4.26 2 1 -- -2.26
Quarterly 12/1/19 2.34 3.66 -- 2.85 4 -- 2 -11.63

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 14.61 16.08 -9.14
Annual 12/1/17 13.61 13.16 3.43
Annual 12/1/16 11.43 11.12 2.83
Quarterly 9/1/19 7.17 3.01 138.31
Quarterly 6/1/19 5.11 3.81 34.15
Quarterly 3/1/19 2.61 3.28 -20.35
Quarterly 12/1/18 6.21 5.14 20.80

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 4.44
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 5.69 6.19 4.56 5.79 6 1 -- -0.05
Annual 12/1/20 5.29 5.64 4.57 5.38 10 3 -- 1.07
Annual 12/1/19 4.91 5.20 4.50 4.90 10 3 -- 1.37
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.35 1.38 1.31 1.35 2 -- -- 0.89

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 4.44 4.44 -0.03
Annual 12/1/17 4.21 4.20 0.16
Annual 12/1/16 4.00 4.00 0.10
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.31 1.33 -1.77
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.14 1.12 2.15
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.14 1.12 2.15
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.14 1.15 -1.24

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 2,786.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2,546.60 2,999.64 2,080.73 2,536.31 10 1 6 -6.63
Annual 12/1/20 2,543.27 2,873.40 2,169.48 2,572.73 13 1 11 -9.00
Annual 12/1/19 3,014.28 3,222.66 2,761.38 3,096.00 11 -- 10 -6.58
Quarterly 3/1/20 589.38 615.00 568.00 585.13 3 -- 2 -14.07
Quarterly 6/1/20 628.78 642.00 611.00 633.35 3 -- 2 -13.79
Quarterly 9/1/20 620.13 639.39 590.00 631.00 3 1 1 -6.81
Quarterly 12/1/19 493.91 649.88 356.00 501.00 7 -- 5 -30.76

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2,786.00 2,854.89 -2.41
Annual 12/1/17 2,404.00 2,414.81 -0.45
Annual 12/1/16 1,928.00 1,939.40 -0.59
Quarterly 9/1/19 699.00 767.65 -8.94
Quarterly 6/1/19 848.00 869.90 -2.52
Quarterly 3/1/19 799.00 723.09 10.50
Quarterly 12/1/18 731.00 792.40 -7.75

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 3,476.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3,319.01 3,700.61 2,788.73 3,392.25 10 2 5 -3.18
Annual 12/1/20 3,230.44 3,490.00 2,877.48 3,312.43 15 -- 13 -5.41
Annual 12/1/19 3,697.84 4,049.00 3,414.38 3,745.00 11 1 8 -4.61
Quarterly 3/1/20 856.73 939.00 762.13 867.63 6 1 1 0.65
Quarterly 6/1/20 885.87 928.00 810.35 896.93 6 1 1 -2.14
Quarterly 9/1/20 847.59 876.00 816.39 844.08 6 1 1 -0.52
Quarterly 12/1/19 699.09 757.00 533.00 711.50 10 -- 9 -19.84

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3,476.00 3,507.26 -0.89
Annual 12/1/17 3,026.00 2,979.86 1.55
Annual 12/1/16 2,455.00 2,455.17 -0.01
Quarterly 9/1/19 958.00 943.36 1.55
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,058.00 1,061.38 -0.32
Quarterly 3/1/19 1,033.00 902.91 14.41
Quarterly 12/1/18 896.00 963.93 -7.05

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 13.15
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 14.06 15.70 12.00 14.13 9 2 3 -3.61
Annual 12/1/20 13.17 14.36 12.00 13.30 15 -- 13 -6.31
Annual 12/1/19 14.97 15.63 14.45 14.99 14 1 11 -5.22
Quarterly 3/1/20 3.38 3.68 3.05 3.36 9 1 3 -2.97
Quarterly 6/1/20 3.59 3.76 3.46 3.61 9 -- 4 -5.45
Quarterly 9/1/20 3.47 3.72 3.17 3.45 9 3 1 1.33
Quarterly 12/1/19 2.54 3.40 1.94 2.53 14 -- 12 -27.15

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 13.15 13.36 -1.55
Annual 12/1/17 5.97 10.25 -41.73
Annual 12/1/16 8.23 8.01 2.80
Quarterly 9/1/19 3.97 3.83 3.64
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.27 4.39 -2.66
Quarterly 3/1/19 4.20 3.51 19.79
Quarterly 12/1/18 3.63 3.87 -6.28

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 951.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 818.50 1,934.00 -297.00 818.50 2 1 -- 172.86
Annual 12/1/20 1,075.39 1,934.00 413.90 1,224.00 5 2 2 52.67
Annual 12/1/19 874.03 1,218.75 414.26 931.55 4 2 2 14.61
Quarterly 3/1/20 1,934.00 1,934.00 1,934.00 1,934.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 1,934.00 1,934.00 1,934.00 1,934.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 1,934.00 1,934.00 1,934.00 1,934.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 951.00 619.40 53.54
Annual 12/1/17 439.00 557.25 -21.22
Annual 12/1/16 441.00 540.00 -18.33
Quarterly 9/1/19 798.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 491.00 622.73 -21.15
Quarterly 3/1/19 847.00 825.24 2.64
Quarterly 12/1/18 951.00 656.00 44.97

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 2,154.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2,031.18 2,290.71 1,733.99 2,028.00 11 1 7 -4.15
Annual 12/1/20 1,962.80 2,104.00 1,791.62 1,982.64 16 -- 15 -6.66
Annual 12/1/19 2,325.31 2,373.00 2,275.00 2,329.50 10 -- 10 -5.58
Quarterly 3/1/20 523.17 572.00 466.00 524.50 6 1 1 -1.19
Quarterly 6/1/20 542.08 568.00 524.00 537.00 6 -- 2 -5.39
Quarterly 9/1/20 516.55 530.00 490.00 520.50 6 1 1 -2.52
Quarterly 12/1/19 377.39 441.00 295.83 391.00 11 -- 9 -29.90

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2,154.00 2,212.61 -2.65
Annual 12/1/17 1,776.00 1,713.11 3.67
Annual 12/1/16 1,394.00 1,353.00 3.03
Quarterly 9/1/19 599.00 594.95 0.68
Quarterly 6/1/19 675.00 685.04 -1.47
Quarterly 3/1/19 663.00 558.23 18.77
Quarterly 12/1/18 554.00 612.13 -9.50

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 29.49
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 24.69 29.00 20.90 23.34 7 -- -- 8.12
Annual 12/1/20 24.88 28.70 21.20 25.05 9 -- -- 3.14
Annual 12/1/19 30.63 32.20 25.60 31.30 11 -- -- -1.42
Quarterly 3/1/20 25.36 25.62 25.10 25.36 2 -- -- 0.04
Quarterly 6/1/20 24.56 26.61 22.50 24.56 2 -- -- -3.86
Quarterly 9/1/20 24.09 26.38 21.80 24.09 2 -- -- 7.21
Quarterly 12/1/19 22.42 28.60 16.23 22.42 2 -- -- -6.53

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 29.49 29.91 -0.42
Annual 12/1/17 25.13 22.93 2.20
Annual 12/1/16 19.52 18.62 0.90
Quarterly 9/1/19 30.13 30.29 -0.16
Quarterly 6/1/19 33.54 37.00 -3.46
Quarterly 3/1/19 33.02 30.02 3.00
Quarterly 12/1/18 30.48 31.26 -0.78

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 23,771.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 21,903.96 22,980.00 19,874.09 22,172.00 11 -- 8 -2.65
Annual 12/1/20 21,568.30 22,485.00 20,650.64 21,663.20 19 -- 18 -3.87
Annual 12/1/19 23,346.18 23,668.00 23,167.28 23,345.03 19 -- 18 -2.57
Quarterly 3/1/20 5,311.87 5,654.00 5,061.38 5,257.00 9 -- 4 -2.02
Quarterly 6/1/20 5,574.76 5,836.00 5,399.43 5,510.36 9 -- 4 -2.07
Quarterly 9/1/20 5,368.00 5,658.00 5,098.51 5,364.00 8 2 1 -0.57
Quarterly 12/1/19 5,335.18 5,452.30 5,174.28 5,352.00 15 -- 14 -8.70

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 23,771.00 23,723.72 0.20
Annual 12/1/17 20,428.00 20,131.25 1.47
Annual 12/1/16 17,509.00 17,340.27 0.97
Quarterly 9/1/19 5,768.00 5,875.08 -1.82
Quarterly 6/1/19 6,221.00 6,358.86 -2.17
Quarterly 3/1/19 6,004.00 5,843.34 2.75
Quarterly 12/1/18 6,126.00 6,087.65 0.63

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 13.67 12.11 13.78

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 9.62 -12.14 7.13
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