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Earnings Estimates


Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 162.78
Price - 52 Week High: 186.73
Price - 52 Week Low: 141.14
Price Date (Latest): 2/24/20
Median Price Target: 179.22
Diff from Prev Close: 16.44
% Difference: 10.10

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.64

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 14.91
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: 5.24
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 9.93
Yield (%): 3.22

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 14.58 18.15 13.10 14.30 11 -- 2 -1.30
Annual 12/1/21 12.93 15.00 10.00 13.00 24 5 11 -6.04
Annual 12/1/20 11.99 12.60 11.25 12.05 25 3 22 -7.31
Quarterly 3/1/20 2.52 2.83 2.11 2.53 21 1 12 -20.83
Quarterly 6/1/20 3.13 3.44 2.82 3.14 21 1 11 -9.78
Quarterly 9/1/20 3.29 3.71 2.99 3.28 21 3 9 -3.52
Quarterly 12/1/20 3.01 3.75 2.31 3.07 21 9 2 12.85

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 14.91 14.88 0.20
Annual 12/1/18 13.23 13.63 -2.91
Annual 12/1/17 10.62 10.28 3.32
Quarterly 12/1/19 2.56 2.42 5.69
Quarterly 9/1/19 3.83 3.83 0.09
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.27 4.40 -3.06
Quarterly 3/1/19 4.20 3.57 17.77

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 49.81
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 62.09 63.31 60.87 62.09 3 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 55.41 70.26 40.38 55.13 7 2 2 -3.63
Annual 12/1/20 51.68 61.84 41.08 51.30 7 5 1 3.56
Quarterly 3/1/20 51.81 56.55 49.26 49.61 3 -- 1 -2.69
Quarterly 6/1/20 52.80 57.78 49.95 50.66 3 -- 1 -3.20
Quarterly 9/1/20 53.92 58.98 50.83 51.95 3 -- 1 -3.33
Quarterly 12/1/20 54.87 59.88 51.90 52.83 3 1 -- -2.28

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 49.81 46.59 6.92
Annual 12/1/18 46.51 45.34 2.57
Annual 12/1/17 43.81 47.36 -7.50
Quarterly 12/1/19 49.81 50.22 -0.81
Quarterly 9/1/19 50.98 52.79 -3.42
Quarterly 6/1/19 52.46 52.53 -0.13
Quarterly 3/1/19 49.65 48.16 3.10

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 20.38
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 19.87 20.29 19.20 20.12 3 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 17.88 21.11 16.09 17.10 5 2 2 2.06
Annual 12/1/20 17.43 20.36 15.70 16.69 5 3 2 1.37
Quarterly 3/1/20 3.08 3.33 2.83 3.08 2 -- 2 -19.79
Quarterly 6/1/20 4.49 4.65 4.34 4.49 2 1 1 6.07
Quarterly 9/1/20 4.54 4.59 4.49 4.54 2 2 -- 8.90
Quarterly 12/1/20 5.13 6.06 4.19 5.13 2 2 -- 52.17

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 20.38 19.68 3.54
Annual 12/1/18 14.61 16.08 -9.14
Annual 12/1/17 13.61 13.16 3.43
Quarterly 12/1/19 5.50 2.42 127.70
Quarterly 9/1/19 7.17 3.01 138.31
Quarterly 6/1/19 5.11 3.81 34.15
Quarterly 3/1/19 2.61 3.28 -20.35

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 4.90
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 5.83 6.81 4.56 5.82 6 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 5.54 6.19 4.56 5.59 11 3 1 -2.48
Annual 12/1/20 5.31 5.64 4.66 5.36 12 3 1 -0.24
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.33 1.38 1.31 1.31 4 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 1.33 1.38 1.31 1.31 4 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 1.36 1.45 1.31 1.35 4 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/20 1.36 1.45 1.31 1.34 4 1 -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 4.90 4.93 -0.67
Annual 12/1/18 4.44 4.44 -0.03
Annual 12/1/17 4.21 4.20 0.16
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.31 1.33 -1.45
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.31 1.33 -1.77
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.14 1.12 2.15
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.14 1.12 2.15

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 2,819.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 2,618.25 3,206.19 2,129.12 2,730.64 9 2 -- 0.59
Annual 12/1/21 2,491.64 2,806.29 2,070.00 2,550.50 16 7 6 -0.42
Annual 12/1/20 2,361.00 2,563.34 2,018.72 2,376.00 17 4 13 -3.87
Quarterly 3/1/20 504.11 587.00 357.59 505.00 11 -- 5 -11.83
Quarterly 6/1/20 619.09 683.00 541.61 626.00 11 1 4 -1.48
Quarterly 9/1/20 624.02 670.00 561.48 630.50 11 2 3 0.57
Quarterly 12/1/20 578.50 635.00 496.00 600.00 11 4 1 24.22

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 2,819.00 2,979.66 -5.39
Annual 12/1/18 2,786.00 2,854.89 -2.41
Annual 12/1/17 2,404.00 2,414.81 -0.45
Quarterly 12/1/19 473.00 508.87 -7.05
Quarterly 9/1/19 699.00 767.65 -8.94
Quarterly 6/1/19 848.00 869.90 -2.52
Quarterly 3/1/19 799.00 723.09 10.50

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 3,731.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 3,470.72 4,028.84 3,178.26 3,416.80 7 1 1 -1.94
Annual 12/1/21 3,201.95 3,598.48 2,771.00 3,203.50 16 4 6 -2.83
Annual 12/1/20 3,072.75 3,231.20 2,974.00 3,050.07 16 2 13 -3.10
Quarterly 3/1/20 687.72 755.00 633.00 692.61 10 -- 4 -13.84
Quarterly 6/1/20 802.64 850.00 745.00 807.00 10 1 3 -5.72
Quarterly 9/1/20 817.02 852.72 785.00 817.00 9 2 2 -1.42
Quarterly 12/1/20 773.67 871.67 663.00 783.00 9 2 2 12.27

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 3,731.00 3,719.67 0.30
Annual 12/1/18 3,476.00 3,507.26 -0.89
Annual 12/1/17 3,026.00 2,979.86 1.55
Quarterly 12/1/19 682.00 691.10 -1.32
Quarterly 9/1/19 958.00 943.36 1.55
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,058.00 1,061.38 -0.32
Quarterly 3/1/19 1,033.00 902.91 14.41

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 14.48
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 14.98 18.15 13.10 14.58 6 -- 1 0.32
Annual 12/1/21 12.91 15.00 10.00 13.00 15 2 7 -7.36
Annual 12/1/20 11.96 12.60 11.25 12.10 16 2 14 -7.41
Quarterly 3/1/20 2.51 2.83 2.11 2.53 12 -- 6 -24.76
Quarterly 6/1/20 3.09 3.44 2.82 3.12 12 1 5 -11.97
Quarterly 9/1/20 3.25 3.58 2.99 3.26 12 2 4 -5.15
Quarterly 12/1/20 3.07 3.75 2.44 3.06 12 4 2 10.59

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 14.48 14.90 -2.82
Annual 12/1/18 13.15 13.36 -1.55
Annual 12/1/17 5.97 10.25 -41.73
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.97 2.46 -19.92
Quarterly 9/1/19 3.97 3.83 3.64
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.27 4.39 -2.66
Quarterly 3/1/19 4.20 3.51 19.79

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 897.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 -41.28 585.00 -379.00 -329.84 3 1 -- 93.18
Annual 12/1/21 999.66 1,934.00 338.00 926.29 5 1 3 12.31
Annual 12/1/20 876.89 1,934.00 356.90 732.50 6 1 4 -25.20
Quarterly 3/1/20 1,934.00 1,934.00 1,934.00 1,934.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 1,934.00 1,934.00 1,934.00 1,934.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 1,934.00 1,934.00 1,934.00 1,934.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/20 1,934.00 1,934.00 1,934.00 1,934.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 897.00 1,174.36 -23.62
Annual 12/1/18 951.00 619.40 53.54
Annual 12/1/17 439.00 557.25 -21.22
Quarterly 12/1/19 897.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 798.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 491.00 622.73 -21.15
Quarterly 3/1/19 847.00 825.24 2.64

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 2,327.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 2,031.05 2,418.92 1,829.85 2,036.00 7 -- 1 -9.93
Annual 12/1/21 1,864.55 2,108.57 1,493.00 1,874.00 16 1 9 -6.50
Annual 12/1/20 1,792.00 1,929.00 1,703.18 1,781.01 17 2 14 -6.32
Quarterly 3/1/20 381.84 430.00 319.75 384.50 12 -- 4 -25.14
Quarterly 6/1/20 465.38 518.00 426.78 467.16 12 1 3 -10.05
Quarterly 9/1/20 484.93 529.37 449.00 483.00 12 1 3 -2.32
Quarterly 12/1/20 454.14 538.00 368.00 453.00 12 2 2 19.23

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 2,327.00 2,322.38 0.20
Annual 12/1/18 2,154.00 2,212.61 -2.65
Annual 12/1/17 1,776.00 1,713.11 3.67
Quarterly 12/1/19 390.00 374.19 4.22
Quarterly 9/1/19 599.00 594.95 0.68
Quarterly 6/1/19 675.00 685.04 -1.47
Quarterly 3/1/19 663.00 558.23 18.77

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 31.33
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 24.06 30.34 21.10 22.40 4 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 23.40 27.99 20.80 21.83 7 -- -- -3.89
Annual 12/1/20 22.92 24.74 19.80 23.05 8 -- -- -5.63
Quarterly 3/1/20 20.94 25.10 16.78 20.94 2 -- -- -14.67
Quarterly 6/1/20 23.03 23.56 22.50 23.03 2 -- -- -0.86
Quarterly 9/1/20 23.70 25.59 21.80 23.70 2 -- -- 4.80
Quarterly 12/1/20 22.73 22.90 22.56 22.73 2 -- -- 26.07

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 31.33 30.86 0.47
Annual 12/1/18 29.49 29.91 -0.42
Annual 12/1/17 25.13 22.93 2.20
Quarterly 12/1/19 20.37 23.70 -3.33
Quarterly 9/1/19 30.13 30.29 -0.16
Quarterly 6/1/19 33.54 37.00 -3.46
Quarterly 3/1/19 33.02 30.02 3.00

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 23,571.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 22,742.07 24,147.73 21,819.19 22,630.29 9 2 -- -0.39
Annual 12/1/21 21,576.48 22,664.00 19,695.34 21,780.60 20 6 7 -1.77
Annual 12/1/20 21,184.91 21,498.00 20,955.00 21,201.48 22 6 15 -1.33
Quarterly 3/1/20 5,086.56 5,374.00 4,773.59 5,129.00 17 5 4 -2.10
Quarterly 6/1/20 5,435.65 5,620.87 5,248.00 5,436.50 17 5 4 -1.50
Quarterly 9/1/20 5,276.92 5,408.93 5,126.00 5,298.45 16 4 5 -1.16
Quarterly 12/1/20 5,398.59 5,853.29 5,138.86 5,366.35 16 5 3 4.02

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 23,571.00 23,312.98 1.11
Annual 12/1/18 23,771.00 23,723.72 0.20
Annual 12/1/17 20,428.00 20,131.25 1.47
Quarterly 12/1/19 5,578.00 5,295.77 5.33
Quarterly 9/1/19 5,768.00 5,875.08 -1.82
Quarterly 6/1/19 6,221.00 6,358.86 -2.17
Quarterly 3/1/19 6,004.00 5,843.34 2.75

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 10.92 13.58 12.59

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate -19.45 7.86 12.77
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